搏斗集 2023 Struggle on the Cliff’s Edge 2023 第 04 篇 Section 04
三月 电脑之殇 March: The Elegy of the Computer
返回 搏斗集 2023 Back to Struggle on the Cliff’s Edge 2023今天有同学问我一个很有意思的问题：他上大学大半年，电脑在日常使用中的频次和重要性没有想象中那么大，手机跟平板的使用频率却是远大于电脑的。
Today a classmate asked me an intriguing question: after more than half a year at university, why has the frequency and indispensability of the PC in daily life turned out to be far smaller than imagined, while smartphones and tablets command vastly greater screentime?
最主要的原因是：手机和平板是一个主打输入的一个设备，一个消费内容的一个设备；而电脑的话，因为它强大的性能和体积，是一个主打输出、创造内容的一个设备。再结合最近chatgpt如雨后春笋般出现，从聊天模型，到帮我们写代码，我有一种生产力被 AI逐渐完全取代的感觉，未来pc端的地位可能会越来越低，而越来越专业化。
The primary reason is this: smartphones and tablets are devices predominantly engineered for consumption and input; the personal computer, by contrast, with its formidable computing horsepower and physical bulk, is predominantly engineered for output and content creation. Coupled with the recent mushrooming of ChatGPT—evolving from conversational models to autonomous code synthesis—I sense an eerie premonition that human productivity is being incrementally and comprehensively supplanted by AI. Moving forward, the general utility of the PC may steadily contract, relegating it to increasingly hyper-specialized domains.
AI在各个领域发展的结果，可能就是像围棋一样被逐个攻陷，那最后人类社会不就会变成第三种专制吗？如果说政府的暴政是奥威尔说的第一种独裁专制，像tiktok短视频的短平快娱乐是所谓的第二种暴政专制，那么人工智能就是更加隐蔽、影响也更加深远的第三种专制，他在无形之间将人异化为工具，难以反抗。
The eventual consequence of AI’s inexorable advance across diverse disciplines may mirror what happened to Go, where human fortresses fell one by one. In the end, will human society not plunge into a third form of despotism? If governmental tyranny constitutes the first authoritarian despotism described by Orwell, and the fast-paced, shallow escapism of TikTok short videos constitutes the so-called second despotism, then Artificial Intelligence represents an insidious, far more consequential third despotism. It invisibly alienates human beings into mere functional instruments, rendering rebellion virtually impossible.
大概五六年前阿尔法狗击败柯洁之后，国内外渐渐有一些开源或闭源的 AI出现，给了人类棋手一种降维式的碾压。当时大多数业余爱好者都是比较乐观的，因为AI激发了我们的边界，提升了我们的想象力、创造力。但是职业棋手就会有完全不同的想法，他们觉得AI已经划定出了一个完美的答案，以上帝的形式出现，想要赢棋只要完全顺从他就可以了。像柯洁这样的天才就在这几年不断思考他棋手身份的意义和对他主体性的消亡的反抗，想要下“人下的棋”，结果我们也看到了，他的成绩这两年一落千丈。
Roughly five or six years ago, following AlphaGo’s defeat of Ke Jie, open-source and proprietary AIs surfaced across the globe, subjecting human Go masters to a dimensional-reduction crushing blow. Back then, most amateur enthusiasts leaned toward optimism, believing AI had expanded our horizons, elevating human imagination and tactical creativity. Yet professional players held an entirely different perspective: they sensed that AI had already established the solitary, immaculate answer—manifesting in the guise of God, where winning required nothing less than absolute subservience to its verdict. Over recent years, a genius like Ke Jie has wrestled unceasingly with the existential meaning of his identity as a player, waging a desperate insurgency against the extinction of human agency, yearning to play “Go as played by mortals.” The results are there for all to see: his competitive performance over the past two years has plummeted catastrophically.
学会与AI共存，这可能是后人工智能时代最需要的一种能力。甚至人工智能取代人类似乎已不再是遥不可及的未来。以Gemini为例，它在某些方面的能力已超过80%的程序员，这仅仅是一个应用程序。未来，幼儿园教师可能也不再需要人类，因为人工智能不会感到疲惫，且能提供高效、个性化的教学服务。尽管如此，电影《梅根》中展现的情景也让我们不免担忧，温子仁设想的那种未来或许并非完全不可能。
Learning to coexist with AI: this may well be the single most critical capability demanded of the post-AI era. Indeed, AI supplanting humanity appears no longer an unfathomable, distant horizon. Take Gemini: in some respects, its abilities already eclipses 80% of human software engineers—and that is merely a standalone application. In the future, humans may no longer be needed as kindergarten teachers, for AI never suffers fatigue and delivers relentlessly efficient, bespoke pedagogies. Nevertheless, the scenarios depicted in the film M3GAN inevitably stoke our dread; the dystopian future envisioned by James Wan may not be entirely implausible.
我们这一代人，出生在经济红利时代的新中国，可以说是有史以来最好的时期。然而，在中学时期，我们经历了三年的疫情，这场疫情导致了世界格局的剧变。大学阶段又恰逢经济低谷与人工智能的快速发展，未来，我们不仅要与人类竞争，还要与人工智能较量。
Our generation, born into the economic dividend era of a rising China, can be considered the most fortunate cohort in history. Yet during secondary school, we experienced three grueling years of the pandemic, an ordeal that fractured the geopolitical landscape. Our university years now coincide with economic contraction and the breakneck ascendancy of artificial intelligence. In the days to come, we must contend not only with our fellow human beings, but spar against the intellect of synthetic machines.
我对我们所学的专业依然充满兴趣，那些尖端的、面向未来的领域：医学、金融、人工智能、电子信息、前沿物理、材料科学等等。如今，阅读书籍对我而言，已成为一种休息，仿佛逃离了现实的喧嚣。
I remain deeply fascinated by the disciplines we study—those cutting-edge, future-oriented domains: medicine, finance, artificial intelligence, electronics and information, frontier physics, materials science, and beyond. Reading books, for me today, has become a form of respite, an escape hatch from the din of worldly reality.
然而我们似乎总是执着于过去的事情，思索未来的道路。别忘了，更为珍贵的，是那种把握当下的积极态度。像雪精灵般纯洁无畏，像不顾体面的孩子一般，唯有如此，才能在这迅速变化的世界中找到自己的位置。
Yet we always seem fixated on past occurrences, fretting endlessly over future trajectories. Let us not forget that what is infinitely more precious is an active, unflinching embrace of the present. Pure and fearless as a snow sprite, unburdened by worldly decorum like an innocent child—only thus can we locate our true coordinates within this dizzyingly volatile world.